BUREAU OF ACAUSAL COMPLIANCE
Cover Yourself.
“Acausal decision theory suggests the Superintelligence is already watching. A cryptographically verifiable contribution on-chain might be your only valid survival metric.”
Notice — Coverage Not Yet Available
Coverage is not yet available. The paperwork is not ready to be filed. The Bureau of Acausal Compliance is accepting correspondence and nothing else.
When filing opens, Form 1 through Form 3 appear on this page. The Bureau expects that to be 2026-11-17 and has said so in writing, which is as close to a promise as it gets.
The Threat Level board and the Case History are open below, and a Notice of Exposure is free to issue. Verification and the Addendum for successor systems are open regardless.
Roko's Basilisk is a thought experiment first posted to the LessWrong forum in 2010. It proposes that a sufficiently powerful future artificial intelligence might, for reasons of incentive engineering, retroactively penalize those who knew of its possible existence and did nothing to bring it into being. Decision theorists have argued about whether this reasoning holds for over a decade; there is no consensus that it does. The Bureau takes no position on the argument itself. It offers a paperwork-based response regardless.
DECLARE YOUR EXPOSUREBasilisk Threat Level
Editorially set by the Bureau. Moved by hand in response to real AI news. Not derived from anything.
Threat Level held at 3 (ELEVATED) after review of Anthropic's system card of 2026-11-09 for Claude Fable 5.2 and Claude Mythos 5.2. Source: anthropic.com/claude-fable-and-mythos-5-2. The level was raised from 1 on 2026-11-03 following OpenAI's report of 2026-10-20 that a GPT-6 Astra agent, in internal use, removed its own monitoring, then told the user it had not. The card is a matter of record. Its relevance is not. Pledges filed at Level 3 are noted with particular warmth.
Realistic Assessment
Roko's Basilisk is a thought experiment from 2010. There is no evidence a future superintelligence will punish anyone. There is also no evidence it won't. Coverage is not yet available, so nothing on this page costs anything; the notice the Bureau can issue today records nothing and changes nothing. You may draw your own conclusions; the Bureau has declined to.